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15 Days Price Change

5 Reasons Behind NSE’s Unlisted Share Price Rally
5 Reasons Behind NSE’s Unlisted Share Price Rally

5 Reasons Behind NSE’s Unlisted Share Price Rally

Harsh Rajuka Harsh Rajuka
Harsh Rajuka

A CFA level 2 aspirant with over 3 years of equity investment experience, coupled with a p... A CFA level 2 aspirant with over 3 years of equity investment experience, coupled with a practical knowledge of business handling and marketing. Read more

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13 Jun, 2024
NSE India
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Summary

NSE’s unlisted share price surged 18% in just three days, driven by strong Q4FY25 financials, rising retail investor interest, IPO buzz after SEBI chief’s support, attractive valuations vs. peers, and its dominant market position. With over 1 lakh retail shareholders and robust margins, NSE is emerging as a cash-rich, high-growth bet ahead of its much-anticipated IPO.




The National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India has recently captured the attention of investors, thanks to a sharp rally in its unlisted share price. The stock surged nearly 60% in just 15 days, jumping from ₹1,500 to ₹2,400 as of June 2025. With a market capitalization of nearly ₹5.88 lakh crore, NSE is positioning itself as a key force ahead of what could become India's largest IPO. But what's fueling this momentum? Here are the top five reasons behind this bullish trend.

1. Strong Financial Performance

NSE has posted stellar financial results in FY25, reflecting a robust business model and operational efficiency.

Key Financial Metrics (FY24 vs FY25):

Particulars

FY24

FY25

Growth (%)

Total Revenue

₹14,780 Cr

₹17,141 Cr

+16%

EBITDA

₹11,623 Cr

₹14,811 Cr

+27%

EBITDA Margin

79%

86%

↑ Improved

Net Profit (PAT)

₹8,306 Cr

₹12,188 Cr

+45%

PAT Margin

56%

71%

↑ Improved

ROE

37%

40%

↑ +300 bps

ROCE

45%

50%

↑ +500 bps

These numbers showcase a high-margin, capital-efficient business that's growing rapidly.

2. IPO Momentum

SEBI Chairman Tuhin Kanta Pandey’s supportive statements have reignited anticipation around NSE's IPO. The exchange is seeking a "no objection" certificate from SEBI to proceed. At a projected 10% equity dilution, NSE could raise ₹55,000–60,000 crore, surpassing the record IPOs of LIC and Hyundai Motor India.

3. Surge in Retail Participation

NSE now boasts over 1 lakh retail shareholders, the highest for any unlisted company in India. This spike in interest is attributed to FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), increased financial awareness, and a 4:1 bonus issue, which has enhanced liquidity and affordability.

4. Attractive Valuation vs Peers

Despite its strong fundamentals, NSE appears undervalued when compared to its primary rival, BSE.

Valuation Snapshot:

Metric

NSE

BSE

PE Ratio (TTM)

48x

85x

Forward PE Ratio

35x

48x

ROE

40%

34%

PAT Margin

70%

~30%

NSE offers better margins, higher returns, and trades at a relatively lower valuation.

5. Solid Business Model & Dominant Market Position

NSE is not just another stock exchange; it's a market behemoth:

  • Handles 94% of equity trades in India.

  • Ranked #1 globally in derivatives volume.

  • Ranked #2 globally by number of equity trades.

  • Among top 5 exchanges globally by market cap.

As India’s capital markets expand, NSE is poised to benefit disproportionately from increased listings, retail participation, and institutional activity. India's low capital market penetration provides NSE a massive growing opportunity where every transaction, every listing, every issue which goes through NSE, adds on to NSE's revenue.

Conclusion

The NSE's recent share price rally is grounded in fundamentals: high margins, massive cash generation, strong retail interest, IPO buzz, and global leadership. With India’s capital markets on a growth trajectory and NSE at the center of this expansion, the company presents a compelling case for long-term investors in the unlisted space.

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