WEBSITE BSE:532847 NSE: HILTON MET Inc. Year: 2005 Industry: Forgings My Bucket: Add Stock
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1. Business Overview
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd. is an Indian manufacturing company specializing in the production of various forged components. Its core business involves forging, machining, and heat treatment of ferrous and non-ferrous metals to produce high-quality industrial products. The company primarily manufactures flanges, forged fittings, forged shafts, valve bodies, and other custom-designed forged components. It caters to a diverse range of industries including oil & gas, petrochemicals, power generation, marine, defense, and general engineering. Hilton Metal Forging makes money by selling these manufactured forged products to industrial clients, often on a project basis or through long-term supply agreements.
2. Key Segments / Revenue Mix
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd. primarily operates in a single core segment: the manufacturing and sale of forged metal products. While specific revenue contribution breakdowns are not publicly detailed by precise percentages for sub-categories, their product portfolio typically includes:
Flanges: Used to connect pipes, valves, pumps, and other equipment.
Forged Fittings: Such as elbows, tees, reducers, and caps for piping systems.
Forged Shafts & Valve Bodies: Custom components for machinery, pumps, and valves.
Custom Forgings: Specialized components designed as per client specifications for various industrial applications.
Revenue is generated from the sale of these products, with demand largely driven by capital expenditure cycles in the end-user industries.
3. Industry & Positioning
The forgings industry is a foundational manufacturing sector, characterized by high capital intensity, precision engineering, and adherence to stringent quality standards. It is largely B2B, serving critical applications in heavy industries. The Indian forging industry is fragmented with many small-to-medium enterprises and a few larger players. Hilton Metal Forging is positioned as a specialized manufacturer, focusing on a range of products primarily for the oil & gas, power, and marine sectors, where product reliability and certifications are crucial. It competes on product quality, adherence to specifications, certifications, and delivery timelines against both domestic and international forging companies.
4. Competitive Advantage (Moat)
Hilton Metal Forging's competitive advantages are likely derived from:
Technical Expertise & Certifications: The ability to produce complex, high-precision forgings from various material grades (carbon steel, alloy steel, stainless steel, nickel alloys) and adherence to international quality standards (e.g., ISO, API, PED) is crucial in its target industries, creating a barrier to entry for new players.
Customer Relationships & Approvals: Building long-term relationships and gaining approvals from key clients in critical sectors like oil & gas and power can lead to repeat business and some degree of switching costs due to the rigorous qualification processes involved for critical components.
Integrated Facilities: Having comprehensive in-house capabilities for forging, machining, and heat treatment can offer cost efficiencies and better quality control compared to fragmented operations.
5. Growth Drivers
Key factors that can drive growth for Hilton Metal Forging over the next 3-5 years include:
Industrial Capital Expenditure Cycles: Revival in CAPEX spending across critical industries such as oil & gas, power, and infrastructure both domestically and globally.
Government Initiatives: "Make in India" and infrastructure development drives in India leading to increased demand for locally manufactured industrial components.
Export Opportunities: Increased demand from international markets, especially from Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Europe for specialized forgings, leveraging global supply chain diversification.
Diversification into New Sectors: Expansion into emerging high-growth sectors like defense, aerospace, or railways, which require specialized forging capabilities.
Value-Added Products: Focus on higher-margin, complex, and specialized forgings that require advanced metallurgical and manufacturing expertise.
6. Risks
Cyclicality of End-User Industries: Demand for forgings is highly correlated with the capital expenditure cycles of industries like oil & gas and power, making the company susceptible to economic downturns in these sectors.
Raw Material Price Volatility: Fluctuations in the prices of steel, alloys, and other raw materials directly impact production costs and profit margins.
Intense Competition: The forgings market is competitive, with both domestic and international players, leading to pricing pressures.
Energy Costs: Manufacturing forged components is an energy-intensive process, making the company vulnerable to volatility in electricity and fuel prices.
Technological Obsolescence: The need for continuous investment in upgrading technology and machinery to maintain competitiveness and meet evolving client requirements.
Foreign Exchange Fluctuations: For a company involved in exports and potentially importing raw materials, currency volatility can impact profitability.
7. Management & Ownership
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd. is promoted by Mr. Kamal Nayan R. Gupta, who serves as the Chairman and Managing Director. Typically, promoter-led companies in India are characterized by strong family involvement in management, which can lead to focused long-term vision. The ownership structure generally includes a significant promoter holding, alongside institutional investors (if any) and public shareholders. The quality of management can be assessed by their ability to navigate cyclical industries, maintain quality standards, expand product offerings, and manage financial health over time.
8. Outlook
Hilton Metal Forging operates in a critical segment of the industrial supply chain. The bull case rests on the global and domestic recovery of industrial CAPEX, especially in oil & gas and power sectors, coupled with infrastructure thrusts. Its specialized product portfolio and adherence to quality standards position it to benefit from demand for reliable components. Opportunities for export growth and diversification into new demanding sectors could also provide upside.
However, the bear case highlights significant risks from the cyclical nature of its primary end-user industries, volatility in raw material and energy prices, and intense competition. The ability to consistently manage working capital, invest in technology, and maintain strong client relationships will be crucial for navigating these challenges and ensuring sustained profitability. The company's performance will be closely tied to the broader economic health and capital spending trends in heavy industries.
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Market Cap ₹116 Cr.
Stock P/E 18.8
P/B 0.6
Current Price ₹21.5
Book Value ₹ 33.6
Face Value 10
52W High ₹70.7
Dividend Yield 0%
52W Low ₹ 13.5
Price goes above X
Price falls below X
PE goes above X
PE falls below X
₹ | |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 35 | 42 | 34 | 34 | 44 | 40 | 45 | 22 | 88 | 70 |
| Other Income | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total Income | 35 | 42 | 35 | 34 | 44 | 41 | 49 | 22 | 88 | 70 |
| Total Expenditure | 31 | 37 | 31 | 32 | 41 | 38 | 43 | 20 | 84 | 66 |
| Operating Profit | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Interest | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Depreciation | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Exceptional Income / Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profit Before Tax | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Provision for Tax | 0 | 0 | -0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | -0 | -0 |
| Profit After Tax | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profit After Adjustments | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Adjusted Earnings Per Share | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 92 | 67 | 80 | 95 | 101 | 103 | 48 | 84 | 105 | 138 | 163 | 225 |
| Other Income | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Total Income | 92 | 67 | 81 | 95 | 102 | 103 | 48 | 84 | 105 | 140 | 168 | 229 |
| Total Expenditure | 86 | 64 | 75 | 88 | 94 | 96 | 65 | 79 | 91 | 123 | 153 | 213 |
| Operating Profit | 6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -17 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| Interest | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Depreciation | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Exceptional Income / Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profit Before Tax | 2 | -1 | -0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -23 | -2 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| Provision for Tax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0 | 0 | -4 | -4 | 1 | 1 | -0 | 0 |
| Profit After Tax | 1 | -2 | -0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -20 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| Adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profit After Adjustments | 1 | -2 | -0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -20 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| Adjusted Earnings Per Share | 0.6 | -1 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | -12.4 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| # | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales CAGR | 18% | 25% | 10% | 6% |
| Operating Profit CAGR | -12% | 36% | 13% | 10% |
| PAT CAGR | -14% | 44% | 25% | 20% |
| # | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share Price CAGR | -64% | -43% | 18% | 5% |
| ROE Average | 6% | 7% | -2% | -1% |
| ROCE Average | 8% | 9% | 2% | 3% |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareholder's Funds | 61 | 60 | 59 | 59 | 61 | 63 | 43 | 45 | 89 | 100 | 116 |
| Minority's Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borrowings | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 46 | 39 | 49 | 66 | 55 | 69 | 51 | 50 | 64 | 69 | 91 |
| Total Liabilities | 114 | 106 | 115 | 142 | 135 | 149 | 113 | 113 | 169 | 185 | 221 |
| Fixed Assets | 33 | 31 | 36 | 37 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 24 |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 27 | 35 |
| Total Current Assets | 72 | 66 | 77 | 102 | 95 | 111 | 75 | 68 | 121 | 132 | 161 |
| Total Assets | 114 | 106 | 115 | 142 | 135 | 149 | 113 | 113 | 169 | 185 | 221 |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 5 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -24 | 10 | 3 |
| Cash Flow from Investing Activities | -7 | -0 | -0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9 | 33 | -2 | 11 |
| Cash Flow from Financing Activities | 2 | -5 | -3 | 4 | -2 | -3 | 1 | -1 | -9 | -8 | -9 |
| Net Cash Inflow / Outflow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -0 | 1 | 5 |
| Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| # | Mar 2015 | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share (Rs) | 0.59 | -1.01 | -0.27 | 0.17 | 0.99 | 0.99 | -12.44 | 1.12 | 2.35 | 2.68 | 2.22 |
| CEPS(Rs) | 1.89 | 0.61 | 1.56 | 1.93 | 2.62 | 2.63 | -10.84 | 2.74 | 3.3 | 3.56 | 3.02 |
| DPS(Rs) | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Book NAV/Share(Rs) | 38.48 | 37.77 | 37.62 | 37.78 | 38.91 | 39.85 | 27.41 | 28.53 | 35.71 | 38.39 | 41.57 |
| Core EBITDA Margin(%) | 6.29 | 5.02 | 6.05 | 6.85 | 6.5 | 7.26 | -36.24 | 6.56 | 13.54 | 10.67 | 6.25 |
| EBIT Margin(%) | 4.31 | 1.39 | 3.3 | 4.13 | 4.81 | 4.97 | -41.16 | 2 | 11.82 | 10.39 | 8.06 |
| Pre Tax Margin(%) | 1.74 | -2.04 | -0.26 | 0.92 | 1.47 | 1.66 | -49.46 | -2.97 | 6.71 | 5.7 | 3.74 |
| PAT Margin (%) | 1.01 | -2.36 | -0.5 | 0.28 | 1.54 | 1.5 | -41.19 | 2.09 | 5.59 | 4.84 | 3.79 |
| Cash Profit Margin (%) | 3.23 | 1.42 | 2.87 | 3.15 | 4.09 | 4.02 | -35.89 | 5.12 | 7.84 | 6.43 | 5.16 |
| ROA(%) | 0.81 | -1.44 | -0.39 | 0.21 | 1.12 | 1.09 | -14.92 | 1.56 | 4.16 | 3.78 | 3.05 |
| ROE(%) | 1.54 | -2.64 | -0.73 | 0.46 | 2.57 | 2.5 | -37 | 4.01 | 8.75 | 7.23 | 5.84 |
| ROCE(%) | 4.66 | 1.08 | 3.32 | 4.41 | 4.89 | 4.86 | -18.84 | 1.64 | 10.03 | 9.71 | 7.92 |
| Receivable days | 88.01 | 104.51 | 86.98 | 93.36 | 83.69 | 92.38 | 164.88 | 23.43 | 54.98 | 75.8 | 74.27 |
| Inventory Days | 156.08 | 210.05 | 169.73 | 208.37 | 238.51 | 232.71 | 463.93 | 235.63 | 210.8 | 192.13 | 182.47 |
| Payable days | 119.2 | 143.56 | 120.82 | 158.91 | 134.85 | 105.95 | 94.54 | 13.36 | 53.19 | 69.4 | 65.21 |
| PER(x) | 23.73 | 0 | 0 | 122.56 | 16.09 | 5.31 | 0 | 22.92 | 36.04 | 32.21 | 26.95 |
| Price/Book(x) | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.9 | 2.37 | 2.25 | 1.44 |
| Dividend Yield(%) | 1.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| EV/Net Sales(x) | 0.52 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.5 | 1.43 | 1.18 | 2.51 | 1.94 | 1.37 |
| EV/Core EBITDA(x) | 7.93 | 12.95 | 8.64 | 9.99 | 8.87 | 6.64 | -3.97 | 17.86 | 17.82 | 16.21 | 14.49 |
| Net Sales Growth(%) | -29.19 | -27.12 | 19.66 | 18.11 | 6.22 | 2.27 | -53.86 | 77.08 | 24.59 | 31.71 | 18.09 |
| EBIT Growth(%) | -37.61 | -76.54 | 202.3 | 41.27 | 21.9 | 5.63 | -482.43 | 108.6 | 636.8 | 15.78 | -8.4 |
| PAT Growth(%) | -69.55 | -271.13 | 72.85 | 163.28 | 469.83 | -0.04 | -1362.77 | 109 | 232.54 | 14.1 | -7.62 |
| EPS Growth(%) | -69.55 | -271.13 | 72.85 | 163.28 | 469.84 | -0.04 | -1362.77 | 109 | 109.64 | 14.1 | -17.1 |
| Debt/Equity(x) | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.59 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 1.33 | 1.34 | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| Current Ratio(x) | 1.58 | 1.68 | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.72 | 1.61 | 1.47 | 1.37 | 1.88 | 1.9 | 1.78 |
| Quick Ratio(x) | 0.68 | 0.75 | 0.7 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.41 | 0.27 | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| Interest Cover(x) | 1.68 | 0.41 | 0.93 | 1.29 | 1.44 | 1.5 | -4.96 | 0.4 | 2.31 | 2.21 | 1.87 |
| Total Debt/Mcap(x) | 1.24 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 1.68 | 5.41 | 5.04 | 1.49 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| # | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 27.67 | 27.67 | 27.67 | 28.31 | 28.31 | 27.39 | 7.71 | 7.71 | 7.87 | 13.71 |
| FII | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| DII | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Public | 72.07 | 72.05 | 72.33 | 71.58 | 71.58 | 72.43 | 92.16 | 92.07 | 91.9 | 86.08 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| # | Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.48 |
| FII | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| DII | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Public | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.69 | 2.16 | 2.15 | 2.15 | 2.99 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.37 | 2.37 | 2.34 | 2.34 | 2.34 | 2.34 | 3.47 |
* The pros and cons are machine generated.
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