Trading · Founded 1994 · www.confidencegroup.co · BSE 526829 · NSE CONFI PETRO · ISIN INE552D01024
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Business
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd. is a diversified private sector player in the LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) industry in India. Its core business revolves around three main areas: LPG Bottling & Marketing, LPG Cylinder Manufacturing, and setting up and operating Auto LPG Dispensing Stations (ALDS). The company procures bulk LPG, bottles it into cylinders under its own brand "GoGas," and distributes it through a network of distributors to domestic, commercial, and industrial customers. It also manufactures a wide range of LPG cylinders for both domestic and commercial use, supplying them to oil marketing companies and private players. Furthermore, it operates auto LPG stations, providing cleaner fuel for vehicles. The company makes money through the sale of bottled LPG, auto LPG, and LPG cylinders.
Revenue Mix
Confidence Petroleum operates primarily across three significant segments:
LPG Bottling & Marketing: This involves procuring bulk LPG, bottling it, and distributing it under the "GoGas" brand to various customer segments across India. This is a significant revenue contributor.
LPG Cylinder Manufacturing: The company manufactures various types of LPG cylinders, including domestic, commercial, and industrial cylinders. These are supplied to Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs), private players, and for its own bottling operations. This segment contributes to both internal demand and external sales.
Auto LPG Dispensing Stations (ALDS): Confidence Petroleum operates a chain of ALDS, selling auto LPG as a cleaner alternative fuel for vehicles.
Specific revenue percentages for each segment are not readily available without detailed financial reports but all three contribute meaningfully to the top line.
Industry
The Indian LPG industry is characterized by the dominant presence of Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) in domestic LPG distribution, alongside a growing private sector. Confidence Petroleum is one of the largest private players in India's LPG bottling and distribution segment, holding a significant pan-India presence for its "GoGas" brand. In cylinder manufacturing, it is a major producer, supplying to both government-owned oil marketing companies and private players. In the Auto LPG sector, it is expanding its network of dispensing stations, competing with other private players and some PSU initiatives. Its positioning is that of an established and expanding private sector leader in a critical energy segment.
MOAT
Confidence Petroleum has developed several competitive advantages:
Scale and Network: A pan-India network of over 60 bottling plants and numerous Auto LPG dispensing stations provides significant reach and logistical efficiencies. This extensive infrastructure would be costly and time-consuming for new entrants to replicate.
Integrated Operations: Its presence across cylinder manufacturing, LPG bottling, and auto LPG dispensing allows for synergistic operations, better cost control, and supply chain management.
Brand Recognition: "GoGas" has established itself as a known private LPG brand in India, building trust among its customer base.
Supplier Relationships: Long-standing relationships with bulk LPG suppliers (both domestic and international) ensure consistent feedstock.
Regulatory Barriers: The LPG sector, especially distribution, has certain regulatory hurdles and licensing requirements which can act as a barrier to entry for smaller or newer players.
Growth Drivers
Increasing LPG Demand: Government initiatives like the Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana (PMUY) continue to drive LPG penetration in rural areas, expanding the overall market.
Preference for Cleaner Fuels: Growing environmental consciousness and government push for cleaner fuels support the demand for LPG over traditional fuels.
Expansion of Auto LPG Network: The increasing number of auto LPG vehicles and government support for alternative fuels will drive the expansion and usage of ALDS.
Industrial & Commercial Demand: Growth in various industries and commercial establishments continues to fuel demand for bulk and packed LPG.
Infrastructure Expansion: Continuous investment in expanding bottling capacities, cylinder manufacturing units, and ALDS will support volume growth.
Risks
Commodity Price Volatility: LPG prices are linked to international crude oil and gas prices. Significant fluctuations can impact procurement costs, sales prices, and profit margins.
Regulatory & Policy Risks: Government policies regarding LPG subsidies, pricing mechanisms, and distribution regulations can directly affect the company's business model and profitability.
Intense Competition: Competition from large Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) and other private players in all segments (bottling, manufacturing, auto LPG) can pressure margins and market share.
Logistical & Infrastructure Challenges: Operating a pan-India network involves significant logistical challenges, and any disruptions can impact supply chain efficiency.
Safety Risks: Handling highly flammable LPG involves inherent safety risks during storage, transport, and dispensing, which necessitates stringent safety protocols and can lead to operational disruptions if incidents occur.
Management & Ownership
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd. is promoted by the Gayatri family, with Mr. Sanjay Agarwal as the Chairman & Managing Director. The management has demonstrated an entrepreneurial approach, successfully scaling the company into one of India's leading private LPG players with diversified operations. The promoter group holds a significant stake in the company, aligning their interests with long-term growth. The ownership structure includes the promoter group as the largest shareholder, along with public and institutional investors.
Outlook
Confidence Petroleum operates in an essential energy sector with structural tailwinds from India's growing energy demand and shift towards cleaner fuels. Its integrated business model across bottling, manufacturing, and auto LPG provides diversification and synergy. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on increasing LPG penetration and expanding auto LPG adoption, supported by its extensive infrastructure and established brand. However, its performance remains susceptible to the inherent volatility of global LPG prices and potential changes in government regulatory policies that heavily influence the sector. Competition, particularly from public sector players, will continue to be a factor. The ability to efficiently manage supply chain logistics and maintain operational efficiencies will be key to sustaining growth and profitability in this dynamic environment.
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 631 | 778 | 746 | 697 | 925 | 1112 | 983 | 1394 | 1216 | 2409 |
| Other Income | 1 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
| Total Income | 632 | 783 | 756 | 718 | 932 | 1119 | 993 | 1403 | 1222 | 2412 |
| Total Expenditure | 520 | 703 | 668 | 616 | 834 | 1029 | 901 | 1308 | 1120 | 2265 |
| Operating Profit | 112 | 80 | 88 | 101 | 97 | 89 | 93 | 95 | 101 | 147 |
| Interest | 26 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 14 | 21 |
| Depreciation | 68 | 41 | 44 | 47 | 43 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 42 |
| Exceptional Income / Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profit Before Tax | 18 | 20 | 24 | 36 | 33 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 42 | 84 |
| Provision for Tax | 5 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| Profit After Tax | 13 | 15 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 34 | 63 |
| Adjustments | -3 | 0 | -3 | 5 | -4 | -0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1 |
| Profit After Adjustments | 10 | 15 | 18 | 31 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 31 | 62 |
| Adjusted Earnings Per Share | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Sales | 355 | 497 | 607 | 1005 | 1078 | 863 | 1428 | 2205 | 2698 | 3146 | 4705 | 6002 |
| Other Income | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 31 | 28 |
| Total Income | 356 | 499 | 610 | 1009 | 1082 | 866 | 1434 | 2214 | 2714 | 3188 | 4736 | 6030 |
| Total Expenditure | 320 | 456 | 536 | 878 | 951 | 742 | 1242 | 1988 | 2339 | 2821 | 4358 | 5594 |
| Operating Profit | 36 | 43 | 74 | 131 | 131 | 124 | 192 | 225 | 374 | 367 | 378 | 436 |
| Interest | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 74 | 79 | 84 | 84 |
| Depreciation | 23 | 24 | 25 | 30 | 51 | 52 | 67 | 84 | 160 | 175 | 171 | 172 |
| Exceptional Income / Expenses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Profit Before Tax | 2 | 7 | 38 | 90 | 69 | 63 | 116 | 115 | 140 | 113 | 124 | 180 |
| Provision for Tax | 1 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 17 | 16 | 29 | 31 | 37 | 26 | 28 | 42 |
| Profit After Tax | 1 | 5 | 27 | 64 | 52 | 47 | 88 | 84 | 103 | 87 | 95 | 138 |
| Adjustments | -0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -4 |
| Profit After Adjustments | 1 | 5 | 27 | 67 | 52 | 50 | 92 | 81 | 101 | 86 | 93 | 134 |
| Adjusted Earnings Per Share | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 4 |
| # | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales CAGR | 50% | 29% | 40% | 29% |
| Operating Profit CAGR | 3% | 19% | 25% | 27% |
| PAT CAGR | 9% | 4% | 15% | 58% |
| # | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share Price CAGR | 91% | -3% | -1% | 23% |
| ROE Average | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
| ROCE Average | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareholder's Funds | 214 | 182 | 253 | 392 | 448 | 533 | 694 | 807 | 1182 | 1328 | 1418 |
| Minority's Interest | 17 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 78 | 81 | 86 | 120 | 123 |
| Borrowings | 16 | 67 | 31 | 37 | 34 | 48 | 42 | 287 | 210 | 217 | 325 |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 37 | 58 | 71 | 102 | 129 | 131 | 155 | 35 | 202 | 207 | 220 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 79 | 83 | 102 | 68 | 72 | 56 | 81 | 431 | 522 | 677 | 644 |
| Total Liabilities | 363 | 407 | 476 | 620 | 705 | 789 | 1050 | 1640 | 2202 | 2550 | 2730 |
| Fixed Assets | 180 | 199 | 243 | 356 | 378 | 456 | 554 | 708 | 1010 | 1048 | 1112 |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 42 | 61 | 68 | 63 | 100 | 115 | 204 | 146 | 142 | 196 | 227 |
| Total Current Assets | 141 | 147 | 164 | 201 | 227 | 218 | 293 | 786 | 1050 | 1306 | 1392 |
| Total Assets | 363 | 407 | 476 | 620 | 705 | 789 | 1050 | 1640 | 2202 | 2550 | 2730 |
| #(Fig in Cr.) | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents | 16 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 121 | 147 |
| Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 35 | 30 | 65 | 68 | 66 | 98 | 103 | -125 | 263 | 5 | 400 |
| Cash Flow from Investing Activities | -22 | -108 | -24 | -152 | -93 | -142 | -169 | -204 | -375 | -130 | -339 |
| Cash Flow from Financing Activities | -16 | 75 | -33 | 87 | 25 | 42 | 69 | 330 | 222 | 152 | -154 |
| Net Cash Inflow / Outflow | -2 | -4 | 8 | 4 | -1 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 110 | 26 | -92 |
| Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent | 14 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 11 | 121 | 147 | 55 |
| # | Mar 2016 | Mar 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share (Rs) | 0.04 | 0.19 | 1.04 | 2.44 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 3.23 | 2.85 | 3.19 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| CEPS(Rs) | 0.94 | 1.12 | 1.97 | 3.44 | 3.79 | 3.51 | 5.43 | 5.92 | 8.29 | 7.89 | 8.01 |
| DPS(Rs) | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Book NAV/Share(Rs) | 8.27 | 6.62 | 9.38 | 13.94 | 15.93 | 18.41 | 24.09 | 26.92 | 36.16 | 39.67 | 42.39 |
| Core EBITDA Margin(%) | 9.07 | 7.79 | 11.55 | 12.59 | 11.75 | 14.02 | 13.03 | 9.81 | 13.32 | 10.31 | 7.37 |
| EBIT Margin(%) | 3.39 | 3.56 | 8.08 | 10.09 | 7.52 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 6.45 | 7.93 | 6.1 | 4.41 |
| Pre Tax Margin(%) | 0.5 | 1.3 | 6.11 | 9 | 6.44 | 7.3 | 8.15 | 5.21 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
| PAT Margin (%) | 0.28 | 0.91 | 4.32 | 6.4 | 4.87 | 5.5 | 6.13 | 3.82 | 3.82 | 2.78 | 2.03 |
| Cash Profit Margin (%) | 6.35 | 5.48 | 8.3 | 9.37 | 9.62 | 11.54 | 10.81 | 7.63 | 9.76 | 8.34 | 5.66 |
| ROA(%) | 0.29 | 1.26 | 6.02 | 11.74 | 7.92 | 6.35 | 9.52 | 6.25 | 5.36 | 3.68 | 3.61 |
| ROE(%) | 0.51 | 2.51 | 12.83 | 20.61 | 12.83 | 9.89 | 14.51 | 11.61 | 10.77 | 7.1 | 7 |
| ROCE(%) | 4.73 | 6.79 | 16.34 | 25.9 | 16.74 | 12.79 | 18.12 | 14.37 | 15.3 | 11.14 | 11.03 |
| Receivable days | 56.04 | 40.3 | 36.67 | 21.78 | 22.65 | 30.07 | 17.14 | 16.08 | 19.22 | 27.4 | 20.69 |
| Inventory Days | 53.68 | 37.53 | 34.27 | 25.1 | 25.5 | 32.06 | 24.19 | 33.34 | 33.41 | 26.19 | 17.77 |
| Payable days | 56.37 | 35.14 | 26.08 | 13.47 | 10.29 | 9.17 | 4.19 | 15.99 | 16.35 | 10.95 | 9.44 |
| PER(x) | 117.72 | 39.83 | 28.69 | 15.89 | 7.67 | 25.43 | 19.35 | 21.29 | 26.31 | 18.1 | 13.37 |
| Price/Book(x) | 0.59 | 1.16 | 3.18 | 2.78 | 0.92 | 2.43 | 2.59 | 2.25 | 2.32 | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Dividend Yield(%) | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| EV/Net Sales(x) | 0.48 | 0.61 | 1.38 | 1.11 | 0.42 | 1.55 | 1.29 | 0.93 | 1.05 | 0.61 | 0.32 |
| EV/Core EBITDA(x) | 4.69 | 7.01 | 11.26 | 8.52 | 3.47 | 10.8 | 9.59 | 9.12 | 7.57 | 5.27 | 4.02 |
| Net Sales Growth(%) | 15.73 | 40.09 | 22.11 | 65.56 | 7.29 | -19.92 | 65.41 | 54.42 | 22.4 | 16.58 | 49.55 |
| EBIT Growth(%) | 221.46 | 45.73 | 163.41 | 103.98 | -20.04 | -11.59 | 75.42 | 13.14 | 50.57 | -10.33 | 7.98 |
| PAT Growth(%) | 104.7 | 348.13 | 449.45 | 142.18 | -18.47 | -9.56 | 84.57 | -3.94 | 22.43 | -15.05 | 9.02 |
| EPS Growth(%) | 104.64 | 369.17 | 437.4 | 135.1 | -21.51 | -8.4 | 83.76 | -11.66 | 12.02 | -18.72 | 7.74 |
| Debt/Equity(x) | 0.27 | 0.66 | 0.34 | 0.2 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.53 | 0.37 | 0.4 | 0.36 |
| Current Ratio(x) | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 2.96 | 3.15 | 3.92 | 3.62 | 1.83 | 2.01 | 1.93 | 2.16 |
| Quick Ratio(x) | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.01 | 1.83 | 2.12 | 2.53 | 2.24 | 1.15 | 1.62 | 1.56 | 1.84 |
| Interest Cover(x) | 1.17 | 1.58 | 4.11 | 9.28 | 6.98 | 8.32 | 13.53 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 2.44 | 2.48 |
| Total Debt/Mcap(x) | 0.46 | 0.56 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.34 | 0.4 |
| # | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 56.12 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 57.38 |
| FII | 2.08 | 1.94 | 2.04 | 2.4 | 2.71 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.69 | 0.48 | 0.81 |
| DII | 1.19 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 |
| Public | 40.61 | 41.65 | 41.65 | 41.45 | 41.32 | 43.04 | 43.12 | 43.42 | 43.64 | 41.63 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| # | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 17.82 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 19.06 |
| FII | 0.66 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| DII | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 |
| Public | 12.89 | 13.84 | 13.84 | 13.77 | 13.73 | 14.3 | 14.33 | 14.43 | 14.5 | 13.83 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 31.75 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 |
| # | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales CAGR | +50% | +29% | +40% | +29% |
| Operating Profit CAGR | +3% | +19% | +25% | +27% |
| PAT CAGR | +9% | +4% | +15% | +58% |
| Share Price CAGR | +91% | -3% | -1% | +23% |
| ROE Average | +7% | +8% | +10% | +10% |
| ROCE Average | +11% | +12% | +14% | +14% |
| # | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 56.12 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 55.89 | 57.38 |
| FII | 2.08 | 1.94 | 2.04 | 2.4 | 2.71 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.69 | 0.48 | 0.81 |
| DII | 1.19 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 |
| Public | 40.61 | 41.65 | 41.65 | 41.45 | 41.32 | 43.04 | 43.12 | 43.42 | 43.64 | 41.63 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| # | Mar 2024 | Jun 2024 | Sep 2024 | Dec 2024 | Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoter | 17.82 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 18.57 | 19.06 |
| FII | 0.66 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| DII | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 |
| Public | 12.89 | 13.84 | 13.84 | 13.77 | 13.73 | 14.3 | 14.33 | 14.43 | 14.5 | 13.83 |
| Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 31.75 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 | 33.22 |
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